Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.305253 0.356425 0.413824 0.483037 0.564325 0.656875 0.770403
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.221207 0.286410 0.367690 0.476736 0.619671 0.801287 1.050598
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.175078 0.243026 0.333986 0.465211 0.650647 0.904768 1.281948
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.152848 0.224612 0.326470 0.482491 0.717141 1.059596 1.602248
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.132449 0.204339 0.311612 0.484607 0.759149 1.182262 1.891988
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.118264 0.190552 0.303353 0.493865 0.811195 1.324936 2.232363
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.103028 0.172562 0.285492 0.484294 0.830170 1.415568 2.499115
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.091387 0.158635 0.271964 0.479280 0.854866 1.517432 2.798704
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.082919 0.148844 0.263867 0.482037 0.892686 1.646086 3.164918
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.078923 0.146339 0.267980 0.506951 0.973799 1.863711 3.732319
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.074999 0.143382 0.270745 0.529428 1.052951 2.087924 4.347321
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.070440 0.138591 0.269370 0.543463 1.117009 2.290694 4.949411
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.064685 0.130910 0.261776 0.544667 1.156467 2.451936 5.496207
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.058801 0.122263 0.251249 0.538501 1.179795 2.583278 6.000753
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.052995 0.113035 0.238351 0.525392 1.185809 2.677148 6.433595
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.050687 0.110962 0.240232 0.544997 1.268219 2.954908 7.354467
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.047196 0.105856 0.234887 0.547399 1.310790 3.145845 8.092318
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.044655 0.102564 0.233146 0.557903 1.374155 3.395732 9.025065
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.040883 0.095975 0.223086 0.547043 1.383067 3.511733 9.621193
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.037826 0.090720 0.215529 0.541354 1.404308 3.662285 10.339216
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.035585 0.087178 0.211658 0.544482 1.449061 3.881248 11.291298
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.034923 0.087460 0.217182 0.572754 1.565546 4.311835 12.944383
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.034106 0.087252 0.221450 0.598264 1.678280 4.749628 14.702867